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• Does the corruption affect to the voters? – a Bayesian econometric analysis

  25-66

  Andras Toth

  Tamas Barczikay

  David Atanaszov

  Views:

  36

  The study examines the agenda-setting aspirations of Hungarian political life between 2010
  and 2016 from a corruption research perspective. Using the available data, we estimate, based
  on the monthly data series of a six-year period, using different statistical methods, whether the
  allocation of European Union funds used as a proxy for corruption had an impact on the support
  of the ruling party. The results of the applied Bayesian vector autoregression do not provide
  evidence for the hypothesis that the increase in corruption associated with the increase in EU
  subsidies reduces the popularity of the ruling party among the entire voting population.