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• Determinants of Mongolian Economic Growth

  61-66

  Batchimeg Bayaraa

  Views:

  437

  Mongolia is the second largest landlocked country, which has unique economic condition. This paper aims to examine Mongolian economic growth from 2000 until 2016 and identify its determinants. The growth was studied based on the growth rate of National Domestic Product. Initially, 20 macroeconomic variables are chosen and tested for the economic growth determinators such as; unemployment rate, human capital index, import growth, inflation rate, export growth, and interest rate, etc. The results showed that the growth rate of dollar exchange, inflation rate, and the growth rate of export were the main factors (81.4%). Mongolian GDP per capita and poverty rate were compared with other Asian lower-middle-economies, which are classified in the same classification as Mongolia. An increment of average salary was adjusted by the inflation rate, which showed the purchasing power declined in 2015. Statistics of Central Bank of Mongolia, Central Intelligence Agency, World Bank’s statistics, and the statistics from National Statistics Office of Mongolia are used for the research.

  JEL Classification: H0, H30, H6, H70

• PROMOTING COCOA EXPORT FOR TRANSFORMATIVE AND SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURAL GROWTH IN NIGERIA

  Udeme Henrietta Ukpe

  Iheanyi Onuigbo

  Views:

  242

  This study was carried out to assess whether cocoa export crop could serve as driver for transformative and sustainable agricultural growth in Nigeria. Data were collected from secondary sources. Vector Error correction, impulse response and variance decomposition were used as analytical tools. The results showed that the in the short run the coefficient of determination (R²) was 0.507 indicating that 50.7% of the variation in agricultural growth was explained by cocoa export, exchange rate, government expenditure and labour.  There is a positive short run relationship and a negative long run relationship between cocoa export and agricultural growth. Labour exhibits an adverse effect in the short and long run on agricultural growth. Also, the result shows a short and long run positive relationship between exchange rate, government agricultural spending, and agricultural growth. Agricultural growth responded positively to a unit shock in Cocoa export and exchange rate in both the short run and long run. It was recommended that government should be proactive in its responsibilities by increasing budgetary allocation to agriculture and monitoring of its distribution, incentivize local investors and cocoa farmers, put in place viable export policy and appropriate exchange rate policy to stabilize the Nigerian economy. This will restore the place of Nigeria in the competitive cocoa market as well as increase agricultural growth.