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Chile and the Global Depression
132-146Views:124The 2007-2009 economic crisis ended an exceptional, five year-long economic boom for Chile and other countries in Latin America. The most beneficial economic outcome of the upswing was the fundamental improvement of the region’s countries in terms of the current crisis, which greatly reduce these countries’ vulnerability to external economic shocks. Based on the previous assumption several economists shared the opinion that “This time things are different”. That is, the fate of the continent in the current crisis will be decided differently as the global downturn has barely affected the region’s economic indicators. However, from September 2008 it has become apparent that the continent’s economy remains vulnerable. The crisis, which has infected the real economy through multiple channels, has reached two major victims of the recession, - Latin America and Central and Eastern Europe – leaving them with a decline in GDP per capita and the slowdown of economic growth. Conversely, Chile experienced a decline of a lesser extent due to its structural reforms and was able to re-orientate to its previous growth path much quicker than the rest of the continent’s economy after the ending of the crisis.
JEL classification: O54, H12, O20
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Financial Crisis, Economic Policy and Economics
19-34Views:123Concerning the financial crisis in 2007-2009 many politicians and economists, in addition
to representatives of other disciplines have asked: why could it not have been avoided,
why could it not have been forecast? The present paper provides a new answer to these
questions. The main argument is that empirical economic policy reached a deadlock when
economists acknowledged the equilibrium models based on efficient market theory. The
static equilibrium paradigm which appeared in the middle of last century has strongly
prevailed to the present day, leaving aside Kornai’s (1971) or Benassy’s (1982) or Goodwin’s
(1991) warnings. Since the economy is never in equilibrium the simultaneous equations
describing it may not provide any guide for politicians; what they should do and how they
should do it in a time of economic crisis. The present author’s newest book (Móczár, 2008),
besides the dynamic equilibrium, also sketches a new paradigm, i.e., non equilibrium
modelling, instead of the orthodox equilibrium paradigm, which allows us to treat bubbles,
to regulate money markets etc. Its necessity is outlined here.JEL classification: E00, E5, E6, G28
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The Impact of the Economic Crisis on the Development Lifecycles, the Short-term Plans and the Strategy of the Actors in the Hungarian SME Sector
29-43Views:194This study was prepared in the third phase of a multi-year research project. The goal of the program was to analyse the growth trajectories and strategies of Hungarian SMEs. Research in the first phase was focused on the specific periods of typical company lifecycles, the second phase dealt with strategic thinking, methods of strategy formulation and the content elements of strategies. The findings and conclusions were published in the journal Competitio. The present study is a report on the findings of the third phase of the research program. It describes the consequences of the recent economic and financial crisis on SMEs. It describes how unexpected and radical changes in the business environment influenced the development of firms, how managers reacted, and how they considered short and long
term factors in their decisions.JEL classification: L21, L26, M1
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The future of Russian outward foreign direct investment and the eclectic paradigm: What changes after the crisis of 2008–2009?
31-54Views:146This article explores the future of Russian outward foreign direct investment in the aftermath of the crisis of 2008–2009. As it is too early to analyse the full impact of the crisis, it develops hypotheses about the degree of slowdown in the foreign expansion of Russian transnational corporations. It uses an extension of the eclectic paradigm to home country advantages (competitive environment, business environment, development strategy, State involvement) applied to a comparison of the Russian Federation with other economies in transition as an analytical tool. Systematic differences between transnationals from the Russian Federation (global firms, based on natural resources, aiming for vertical integration of assets) and from new European Union member countries (regional firms, based on downstream activities or services, aiming for horizontal integration) allow us to formulate more solid conclusions about the future of the Russian firms facing lower export prices, lower market capitalizations and higher debts. In turn, this article argue that a comparison with the large emerging economies of Brazil, China and India, under the acronym of BRIC can be less useful in the current context, as these economies are significantly less affected by the crisis of 2008–2009 than the Russian Federation; hence they can not expect a slowdown in their outward foreign direct investment similar to that of Russian transnationals.
JEL: F23; F21; O52; P29
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The role of dynamic relationship capabilities and loyalty in organisational relationships
76-92Views:234In this study we try to answer the question of how Hungarian organisations can be depicted in terms of relationship management in networked relationships, and how the nearly fouryear global economic crisis influences the perception of relationship capability and B2B loyalty in organisational relationships. First we review the theoretical background of dynamic relationship capabilities and B2B loyalty, then we show our empirical research results, and we try to identify the factors involved in relationship management and B2B loyalty. From our point of view relationship management has an effect on B2B loyalty, and we support the hypothesis that where relationship management is a conscious action, there are evolved procedures for this. These connected mechanisms have a positive impact on the evaluation of relationship quality and contribute to partners’ loyalty.
Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) classification: M10, M14, M31, M39
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On the Global Expansion of Venture Capital
60-69Views:127The venture capital industry has also been negatively affected worldwide by the financial crisis of 2008, thus the usual investment conditions have changed. One aim of the study is to provide an overview of the changes. As shown in the global trends, the level of the global annual venture capital investments in 2013 just reached the level of before 2008. Although in some Asian countries (China and India) the decline was not significant, unlike in the European countries. Another aim of the study is to examine whether there is a reality of an integrated global venture capital model, or it is different in each country. If there is a difference, then what kind of explanatory factors can be tracked back. On the basis of extensive international literature the article argues that there are a number of factors such as the characteristics of financial systems, the legal and institutional barriers and the culture that affect the emergence of an integrated venture capital model.
Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes: G24
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Development of the Russian securities market
56-74Views:93The Russian securities market, considered relatively modern, came about within a year or two in the first half of the nineties without any antecedents and tradition. Parallel to the formation of the institution system both the stock and the bond market underwent a rapid expansion, which continued steadily up to the outburst of the financial crisis in 1997/1998. The collapse in August and September 1998 was followed by a relatively long stabilization period, and later security prices began to increase again and bond prices also levelled off. The current paper analyses the last decade of the Russian securities market, introduces its phases, gives a detailed description of the road leading to the crisis and collapse examining the peculiarities in a comprehensive way.
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Paradigmaváltás a fejlődés-gazdaságtanban
109-124Views:138A szerző kutatásaiban az urbanizációs válság vizsgálatával foglalkozik a fejlődő országokban. A témát fejlődés-gazdaságtani problémaként közelíti meg. Ennek megfelelően jelen cikkben - háttértanulmányként- a fejlődés-gazdaságtani elméleteket tekinti át újszerű megközelítésben: azt vizsgálja, hogy az állam milyen szerepet tölt be az egyes fejlesztési modellekben, és milyen jövő áll ezen tudományág előtt. Bemutatja, hogyan változott a tudományos gondolkodás a fejlődés értelmezését illetően, majd felvázolja egy interdiszciplináris, újradefiniált fejlődés-gazdaságtan szükségességét és lehetőségét.
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Issues of the Regulation of Residential Credits
44-51Views:179The study focuses on the theoretical and practical issues of lending from the legal regulation point of view. After the 90’s the consumer social model was set up in Hungary, and it was linked to a fairly broad consumer credit activity. However, the regulation of lending was insufficient in many areas; consumer protection has hardly existed in the financial services market. Debtors were unprotected when facing the financial institutions, which concluded contracts not in their favour and restricted their rights. The economic crisis, and the great number of insolvent debtors, has emerged as a social problem for legislators, thus enabling them to amend lending rules and strengthen consumer protection in this area.
JEL classification: K 30
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The Relevance of the Washington Consensus for the Post-communist Countries
5-25Views:217The Washington Consensus (WC) is 20 years old now. With hindsight, its main significance is the unification of the normative economics. Prior to the WC, it was widely accepted that different policies should be pursued in the developed and in the underdeveloped economies. It was a sheer coincidence that the emergence of WC occurred a few months before the collapse of the communist systems of Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union. Many scholars believe that the WC is responsible for the recurring economic crisis of the last two decades. I reject this view. A 200-year track record confirms that depressions and financial crisis have been always the intrinsic components of market economies – for the reasons identified by Marx and Schumpeter long time ago.
Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) classification: F02, F23, F41, P11, P36