Vol. 16 No. 4 (2010)
Articles

Economics of apple-storage I: Comparative time series analysis of apple producer prices in Germany and Hungary

Published August 16, 2010
Z. Lakner
Corvinus University of Budapest, Faculty of Food Science, Department of Food Economy, 29–43. Villányi St., H-1118 Budapest Hungary
F. Apáti
Department of Farm Business Management, Faculty of Agricultural Economic and Rural Development, Centre for Agricultural Sciences, University of Debrecen, 138 Böszörményi St., H-4032 Debrecen Hungary
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APA

Lakner, Z., & Apáti, F. (2010). Economics of apple-storage I: Comparative time series analysis of apple producer prices in Germany and Hungary. International Journal of Horticultural Science, 16(4), 75–79. https://doi.org/10.31421/IJHS/16/4/922

Based on standard econometric methods the article analyses the time series of fresh apple producer prices in domestic markets of Germany and Hungary. In Germany, as a consequence of high storage capacities the quantity offered in different parts of the season is relatively stable, that’s why only a rather limited price increasing can be detected. In Hungary, as a consequence of the limited storage capacity this fluctuation is much more important. The modern methods of time series analysis (ARIMA models, stepwise regression) can be efficiently applied for forecasting of price movements.

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