Quantophrenia? – Some remarks on the possibilities and constraints of mathematical formalization in economic and social sciences
Author
View
Keywords
How To Cite
Abstract
This article deals with some aspects of the constraints to the formal mathematization of economic theories and models. It points out that complex, dynamic and open systems dispose of a memory so that past events, statements or beliefs, even if they have turned out to be wrong or untrue, exert a potentially significant influence on the present state of issues, so they cannot be completely substracted from models representing reality. Reference is also made to the fact that in such complex, evolutionary systems strong interdependences and interactions exist between the subject and the object of scientific inquiry since economic actors strongly influence each other and, consequently, aggregate reality through their mutual actions and expectations. Furthermore, it is argued that the comparability of findings is highly dependent on the identity or dissimilarity of the initial conditions of the objects of economic research. The article does not take a position either for or against mathematical modelling; it limits itself to comments on some of the conditions of meaningful formalization.
JEL classification: A1, B10, B41, C10
References
- Andor László (1993): Stabilizáció és szerkezeti kiigazítás. A nemzetközi Valutaalap és a Világbank programjai az 1980-as években. OTK-kutatási dokumentum, kézirat, Budapest.
- Artner Annamária – Gáspár Pál – Sass Magdolna (1995): Stabilizációs politikák világgazdasági tapasztalatai, MTAVilággazdasági Kutatóintézet, Budapest.
- Becker G. (1976): The Economic Approach to Human Behavior, University of Chicago Press, Chicago.
- Becker G. (1992): The Economic Way of Looking at Life, Journal of Political Economy, vol. 101, no. 3.
- Briggs J.–Peat F. D. (1989): Turbulent Mirrow. An Illustrated Guide to Chaos Theory and the Science of Wholeness, Harper and Row, New York.
- Csaba László (2009): Crisis in Economics? Akadémiai Kiadó, Budapest.
- Csányi Vilmos (1989): Evolutionary Systems and Society: a General Theory, Duke University Press, Durham
- Csányi Vilmos (1992): Natural Sciences and the Evolutionary Models. In: World Futures, vol. 34.
- Dilthey W. (1933): Gesamte Schriften, 3. Auflage, Band 1.
- Domar E. D. (1957): Expansion and Employment. In: Essays in the Theory of Economic Growth, New York, Oxford University Press.
- Greenspan A. (2007): The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World, Penguin Press.
- Harrod R. F. (1939): An Essay in Dynamic Theory, The Economic Journal, Vol. 49, no. 193.
- Habermas J. – Luhmann N. (1972): Theorie der Gesellschaft oder Sozialtechnologie? Frankfurt a. M.
- Hodgson G. (2001): How Economics Forgot History: The Problem of Historical Specificity in Social Science, Routledge, London.
- Kampis György – Csányi Vilmos (1992): Societies as Replicative Component Systems. In: World Futures, vol. 34.
- Krugman P. (1991): Geography and Trade, MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass.
- Lindblom Ch. E. (1965): The Intelligence of Democracy: Decision-Making Through Mutual Adjustment, New York–London.
- Linston H. – Turoff M. (1975): The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications, Addison-Wesley Publishing
- Luhmann, N. (1973): Zweckbegriff und Systemrationalität, Suhrkamp, Frankfurt a. M.
- Marris R. L. – Mueller D. C. (1980): The Corporation, Competition and the Invisible Hand, Journal of EconomicLiterature, Vol. 18, 32—63.
- Móczár József (2008): Közgazdaságtan vagy közgazdaság-tudomány? I. Competitio, VII. évf. 2.
- Móczár József (2009): Közgazdaságtan vagy közgazdaság-tudomány? II. Competitio, VIII. évf. 1.
- Musto Stefan (1972): Evaluierung sozialer Entwicklungsprojekte, Hessling, Berlin.
- Musto Stefan (1974): Die Fremdbestimmung des Bewusstseins – Normative Wirkungen der sozialwissenschaftlichen Forschung und Planung in Entwicklungsländern, Vierteljaresberichte der F. Ebert-Stiftung,
- no. 56, 1974, 125—145.
- Musto Stefan (1982): Die Sozialforschung verändert ihren Gegenstand – Einige Implikationen für Theorie und Praxis. In: Zedler P. – Moser (Hrsg.): Aspekte qualitativer Sozialforschung, Leske, Opladen.
- North D. C. (1994): Economic Performance Through Time, American Economic Review, vol. 84.
- Popper K. R. (1957): Das Elend des Historizismus, Mohr, Tübingen
- Popper K.R. (1973): Objektive Erkenntnis, Hamburg
- Prigogine I. – Stengers I. (1980): Dialog mit der Natur, (német nyelvű kiadás), Piper, München
- Putnam R. D. – Leonardi R. – Nanetti R. (2003): Making Democracy Work: Civic Traditions in Modern Italy, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
- Rickert H. (1899): Kulturwissenschaft und Naturwissenschaft, Heidelberg.
- Romer P. (1990): Endogenous Technological Change, Journal of Political Economy, vol. 98 no. 5.
- Samuelson P. A. – Nordhaus W. D. (2003): Közgazdaságtan (magyar nyelvű kiadás), KJK-KERSZÖV, Budapest.
- Scott N. (1966): Some Problems of Cost-Benefit Analysis of Social Investments. In: UNRISD: Cost-Benefit Analysis of Social Projects, Report No. 7, Geneva.
- Sorokin P. (1956): Fads and Foibles of Modern Sociology and Related Sciences, Chicago.
- Soros György (2008): A 2008-as hitelválság és következményei, Scolar, Budapest.
- Tron Zsuzsanna (2009): Az Európai Unió regionális politikájának céljai és eredménye (disszertáció), Debreceni Egyetem, Közgazdaságtudományi Kar.
- Weintraub E. R. (2002): How Economics Became a Mathemetical Science? Cambridge University Press, Cambridge–New York.
- Wiener N. (1968): Mensch und Menschmaschine, Rowohlt, Reinbek.
- Williamson O. E. (2000): The New Institutional Economics: Taking Stock, Looking Ahead. Journal of EconomicLiterature, vol. 38, no. 3
- Windelband W. (1894): Geschichte und Naturwissenschaft, Heidelberg.
- Zalai E. (2001): Matematikai Közgazdaságtan, KJK-Kerszöv, Budapest.