Articles

Profitability of exponential and simple moving average crossover strategy and the profitability of trend trading

Published:
March 20, 2024
Authors
View
Keywords
How To Cite
Selected Style: APA
Tóth, B. L., & Fazekas, B. (2024). Profitability of exponential and simple moving average crossover strategy and the profitability of trend trading. Economica, 14(3-4), 34-42. https://doi.org/10.47282/economica/2023/14/3-4/13490
Abstract

The study focused on trading based on the signals of indicators, specifically examining a strategy using moving average crossovers. One of the main purposes of the paper was to analyse the efficiency differences between the simple and exponential moving average crossover strategies. Additionally, the study explored the impact of trend-following trading on the performance of indicators. The research tested the performance of indicators using the example of companies with the highest market capitalization. The main conclusion of the article is that there was no superior indicator in cases of the examined stocks. Furthermore, during periods of predominantly rising trends, the buy-and-hold strategy outperformed the active trading strategy based on indicators.

References
  1. Achelis, S. B. (2000): Technical Analysis from A to Z, 2nd Edition. New York: McGraw Hill.
  2. Appel, G. (2005): Technical Analysis: Power Tools For Active Investors. Financial Times Prentice Hall.
  3. Becsky-Nagy, P. (2006): Kilépések politikája: hogy válnak meg a kockázati tőkések a befektetéseiktől?.
  4. Competitio, 5(2), 83-98. https://doi.org/10.21845/comp/2006/2/5
  5. Becsky-Nagy, P. – Dékán, T. – Szabóné Szőke, R. – Bács, Z. (2015): The relevance of sports financing. Apstract, 9(1-2), 19-22. http://hdl.handle.net/2437/218297
  6. Bence B. (2021): A sikeres kereskedő. Net Média és Internet Tartalomszolgáltató Zrt., Budapest, 348 p. ISBN: 978-615-00-0064-0
  7. Fazekas, B. – Becsky-Nagy, P. (2021): A new theoretical model of government backed venture capital funding. Acta Oeconomica. 71(3), 487-506. https://doi.org/10.1556/032.2021.00024
  8. Kecskeméti I. (2006): Tőzsdei befektetések a technikai elemzés segítségével., Kecskeméti István és Tsa Bt., Budapest, 242 p. ISBN: 2050000004247
  9. Mitra, S. (2011): Usefulness of Moving Average Based Trading Rules in India. International Journal of Business and Management, 6(7), 199-206. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijbm.v6n7p199
  10. Park, C.-H.–Irwin, S. H. (2004): The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review. AgMAS Project Research Report No. 2004-04., 102 p. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=603481
  11. Tradinview (2023): I see 'Timeframe' and 'Wait for timeframe closes' options in an indicator's settings. What do they do?, https://www.tradingview.com/support/solutions/43000591555-i-see-timeframe-and-wait-for-timeframe-closes-options-in-an-indicator-s-settings-what-do-they-do/
  12. Végh Z. (2016): A technikai elemzés alapjai: chartok, pozíció felvétele és menedzselése. Oktatási füzetek 8. szám december, 59 p.