The purpose of this article is to estimate the changes caused by the COVID-19 pandemic for healthcare and the medical industry that serves it. Furthermore, an estimate of the expected impact of the epidemic onto economic and social change. In addition, to estimate the expected impact of the epidemic on economic and social changes. The article was written in two different periods. The first part ended in April 2020 and the second part in April 2021. The article is essentially a thought experiment. A reasoning enclosed in a bottled mail that the author rewrote after a year in the light of the changing facts. The article concludes that COVID-19 will help complete a long economic cycle. This crisis accelerates a technological shift in which creative destruction occurs in the economic subsystem as well as in other subsystems of the society. The new long economic cycle (Cycle K), just as it happened after World War II, builds a new social quality. At the beginning of the new K cycle, the former welfare state model is replaced by a wellbeing society concept. The basis of a wellbeing society will be solidarity, cooperation and quality. For the individual, health will no longer be just an optional lifestyle, but an effective form of survival.